Non-big-5 transfer values: top 10s for 66 leagues

The Weekly Post number 456 of the CIES Football Observatory presents the ten players with the highest estimated transfer values across 66 leagues worldwide (the most important outside the big-5).

The rankings were drawn up on the basis of a powerful property statistical model*, explaining over 80% of the price differences observed for about 6,200 paying fee transfers that took place over the last decade.

Stepping stone league to the big-5 per excellence, Portugal’s Primeira Liga brings together the three footballers playing outside the world’s top five competitions with the highest estimated transfer values: António Silva (Benfica, €114m), João Neves (Benfica, €95m) and Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting CP, €87m).

Real Madrid’s new recruit Endrick (Palmeiras, €80m) tops the list for players active outside Europe, ahead of compatriots Pedro (Flamengo, €42m) and Paulinho (Atlético Mineiro, also €42m).

The following players are the best valued in the other main leagues analysed: Jorrel Hato (€78m) in the Netherlands, Georgiy Sudakov (€52m) in Ukraine, Georginio Rutter (€41m) in the English Championship, Oscar Gloukh (€36m) in Austria, Matthew O’Riley (€31m) in Scotland, Antonio Nusa (€28m) in Belgium, Martin Baturina (€28m) in Croatia, Cristian Medina (€24m) in Argentina, Thiago Almada (€23m) in the MLS and Julián Quiñones (€21m) in Mexico.

*A scientific article referring only to transfers to big-5 league clubs, but whose approach converges with that now being deployed worldwide, is available in open access here.

Transfer values for big-5 league players based on a scenario of three or more years of remaining contract are available here.

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>>> Top 10s per league

About the CIES Football Observatory

The CIES Football Observatory is a research group created in 2005 within the Swiss-based Centre International d’Étude du Sport (CIES). It specialises in the statistical analysis of football, in particular in the areas of demographics, transfer values and performance.

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About the CIES

The International Centre for Sports Studies (CIES) is an independent study centre located in Neuchâtel, Switzerland. It was created in 1995 as a joint venture between the Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA), the University of Neuchâtel, the City and State of Neuchatel.

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